Saturday, August 30, 2025

Closer to the peak of hurricane season, but the tropics are relatively quiet

COLUMBUS, GA (WRBL)- After Tropical Storm Fernand last week, the tropics have been quiet. This is normally the time of the year when we start to see the Atlantic tropical activity ramp up. The season typically runs from June 1st to November 30th, with the peak on September 10th.

By the end of August, we typically see six named storms, two hurricanes, and no major hurricanes. So far in 2025, we have had six named storms, one hurricane (Erin), and one major hurricane (also Erin). So we are on track for the season.

New Area to Watch: We are monitoring a tropical wave that is currently moving off the coast of Africa. Once it moves into the Atlantic Sunday PM/Monday AM, conditions will be a little more favorable for it to become organized.

It is expected to track to the west/northwest over the next week. With the amount of uncertainty, it currently only has a 30% chance of development.

What is going on the Pacific? While the Atlantic has been quieter, the Pacific has been ramping up this week. There are currently two areas in the Eastern Pacific that both have high chances of formation.

EP93 (area #1) in the western east pacific has become well organized this weekend and has a 80% chance of becoming named this weekend. A second area off the coast of Mexico remains disorganized for now. It has a 40% chance of formation this weekend and a 80% chance of becoming named this week.

Reminder: The Pacific Hurricane Season uses a separate set of names from the Atlantic Season. You can check out all of the names by visiting NOAA.


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